| 1. Identity statement | |
| Reference Type | Journal Article |
| Site | mtc-m12.sid.inpe.br |
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
| Identifier | 6qtX3pFwXQZGivnJRY/KTym4 |
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m12@80/2006/04.27.19.49 (restricted access) |
| Last Update | 2006:07.21.17.59.19 (UTC) administrator |
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m12@80/2006/04.27.19.49.08 |
| Metadata Last Update | 2018:06.05.00.40.44 (UTC) administrator |
| Secondary Key | INPE--PRE/ |
| ISSN | 0198-9715 |
| Citation Key | AlmeidaBaMoCâSoCePe:2003:EmDeEs |
| Title | Stochastic Cellular Automata Modelling of Urban Land Use Dynamics: Empirical Development and Estimation  |
| Year | 2003 |
| Month | September |
| Access Date | 2025, May 09 |
| Secondary Type | PRE PI |
| Number of Files | 1 |
| Size | 611 KiB |
| 2. Context | |
| Author | 1 Almeida, Cláudia Maria 2 Batty, Michael 3 Monteiro, Antonio Miguel Vieira 4 Câmara, Gilberto 5 Soares Filho, Britaldo Silveira 6 Cerqueira, Gustavo Coutinho 7 Pennachin, Cássio Lopes |
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 3 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JGJN |
| Group | 1 DSR-INPE-MCT-BR 2 CASA-INPE-MCT-BR 3 DPI-INPE-MCT-BR 4 DPI-INPE-MCT-BR 5 CSR-INPE-MCT-BR 6 CSR-INPE-MCT-BR |
| Affiliation | 1 Divisão de Sensoriamento Remoto 2 University College London 3 Divisão de Processamento de Imagens 4 Divisão de Processamento de Imagens 5 Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais 6 Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais 7 Inteligenisis |
| e-Mail Address | almeida@dsr.inpe.br |
| Journal | Computers, Environment and Urban Systems |
| Volume | 27 |
| Number | 5 |
| Pages | 481-509 |
| History (UTC) | 2006-04-27 19:49:08 :: ariovaldo -> marciana :: 2006-07-21 13:08:44 :: marciana -> ariovaldo :: 2006-07-21 17:59:19 :: ariovaldo -> administrator :: 2018-06-05 00:40:44 :: administrator -> ariovaldo :: 2003 |
| 3. Content and structure | |
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
| Content Stage | completed |
| Transferable | 1 |
| Content Type | External Contribution |
| Version Type | publisher |
| Keywords | urban modelling land use dynamics cellular automata geocomputation town planning |
| Abstract | An increasing number of models for predicting land use change in regions of rapid urbanization are being proposed and built using ideas from cellular automata (CA) theory. Calibrating such models to real situations is highly problematic and to date, serious attention has not been focused on the estimation problem. In this paper, we propose a structure for simulating urban change based on estimating land use transitions using elementary probabilistic methods which draw their inspiration from Bayes' theory and the related weights of evidence approach. These land use change probabilities drive a CA model DINAMICA conceived at the Center for Remote Sensing of the Federal University of Minas Gerais (CSR-UFMG). This is based on a eight cell Moore neighborhood approach implemented through empirical land use allocation algorithms. The model framework has been applied to a medium-size town in the west of São Paulo State, Bauru. We show how various socio-economic and infrastructural factors can be combined using the weights of evidence approach which enables us to predict the probability of changes between land use types in different cells of the system. Different predictions for the town during the period 1979-1988 were generated, and statistical validation was then conducted using a multiple resolution fitting procedure. These modeling experiments support the essential logic of adopting Bayesian empirical methods which synthesize various information about spatial infrastructure as the driver of urban land use change. This indicates the relevance of the approach for generating forecasts of growth for Brazilian cities particularly and for world-wide cities in general. |
| Arrangement 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDPI > Stochastic Cellular Automata... |
| Arrangement 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDSR > Stochastic Cellular Automata... |
| doc Directory Content | access |
| source Directory Content | there are no files |
| agreement Directory Content | there are no files |
| 4. Conditions of access and use | |
| Language | en |
| Target File | ceus finalissimo.pdf |
| User Group | administrator ariovaldo |
| Visibility | shown |
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher allowfinaldraft36 |
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 |
| Update Permission | transferred to ariovaldo |
| 5. Allied materials | |
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EQCCU5 8JMKD3MGPCW/3ER446E |
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; COMPENDEX. |
| Host Collection | sid.inpe.br/banon/2001/04.06.10.52 |
| 6. Notes | |
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist area callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel doi electronicmailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readergroup rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url |
| 7. Description control | |
| e-Mail (login) | ariovaldo |
| update | |